To understand the impact of the proposed signals on the function of the road at this location in terms of delay and queuing, an independent traffic engineering expert was engaged to conduct traffic modelling on the proposal.
Morning and afternoon peak models were prepared for three different phasing sequences:
- Option 1 - A separate stand-alone phase for the East to West crossing on Dublin Road.
- Option 2 - A shared phase for the East to West crossing on Dublin Road and the right turn from Dublin Road into Knaith Road.
- Option 3 - A shared phase for the East to West crossing on Dublin Road and the Knaith Road traffic (both left turns and right turns).
Each of these phasing options were also modelled for three different time periods:
- Scenario 1 - Operation of the intersection under existing conditions (i.e. based on volumes and pedestrian data collected in 2018).
- Scenario 2 - Operation of the intersection based on 10 years’ growth.
- Scenario 3 - Operation of the intersection based on 10 years’ growth with double the amount of pedestrian/cyclist crossings.
Option 1 is a conservative phasing sequence that offers the East to West pedestrian crossing the ultimate level of protection as all other movements will be stopped. This is not considered necessary at this point in time and the strong likelihood is that either Option 2 or Option 3 will be adopted in practice.
The average delay for any vehicle travelling in the northbound or southbound approach was modelled to be no higher than 15.4 seconds and to be no longer than 91m. The subsequent level of service provided by the proposed signals is considered appropriate.
Delays on the Knaith Road approach were modelled to be no higher than 45.1 seconds and no longer than 47.5m. Based on the modelling, most queues are expected to clear within two cycles during the AM and PM peaks
Comprehensive summary of options
See a more comprehensive summary of the results below:
Option 1
Option 1 - A separate stand-alone phase for the East to West crossing on Dublin Road
|
Approach
|
Peak
|
Scenario
|
Average Delay (s)
|
95% back of queue distance (m)
|
Dublin Road South Approach
|
AM
|
Scenario 1
|
11.4
|
48.3
|
Scenario 2
|
11.9
|
60.7
|
Scenario 3
|
11.9
|
60.7
|
PM
|
Scenario 1
|
11.2
|
61.9
|
Scenario 2
|
12.0
|
79.2
|
Scenario 3
|
15.4
|
91.1
|
Dublin Road North Approach
|
AM
|
Scenario 1
|
3.5
|
22.2
|
Scenario 2
|
3.7
|
30.5
|
Scenario 3
|
3.7
|
30.5
|
PM
|
Scenario 1
|
3.0
|
16.6
|
Scenario 2
|
3.2
|
22.7
|
Scenario 3
|
5.3
|
39.1
|
Knaith Road East Approach
|
AM
|
Scenario 1
|
33.2
|
31.3
|
Scenario 2
|
34.9
|
39.1
|
Scenario 3
|
43.9
|
46.1
|
PM
|
Scenario 1
|
33.4
|
33.6
|
Scenario 2
|
35.5
|
42.7
|
Scenario 3
|
40.1
|
46.5
|
Table 1: Delay and queue lengths for a separate stand-alone phase for the East to West crossing on Dublin Road.
Option 2
Option 2 - A shared phase for the East to West crossing on Dublin Road and the right turn from Dublin Road into Knaith Road
|
Approach
|
Peak
|
Scenario
|
Average Delay (s)
|
95% back of queue distance (m)
|
Dublin Road South Approach
|
AM
|
Scenario 1
|
10.3
|
48.3
|
Scenario 2
|
10.8
|
60.7
|
Scenario 3
|
11.5
|
64.4
|
PM
|
Scenario 1
|
10.0
|
61.9
|
Scenario 2
|
10.6
|
79.2
|
Scenario 3
|
13.3
|
91.1
|
Dublin Road North Approach
|
AM
|
Scenario 1
|
3.5
|
22.2
|
Scenario 2
|
3.7
|
30.5
|
Scenario 3
|
4.5
|
37.2
|
PM
|
Scenario 1
|
3.0
|
16.6
|
Scenario 2
|
3.2
|
22.7
|
Scenario 3
|
5.3
|
39.1
|
Knaith Road East Approach
|
AM
|
Scenario 1
|
33.2
|
31.3
|
Scenario 2
|
33.8
|
38.3
|
Scenario 3
|
45.1
|
47.5
|
PM
|
Scenario 1
|
33.4
|
33.6
|
Scenario 2
|
34.0
|
41.2
|
Scenario 3
|
40.1
|
46.5
|
Table 2: Delay and queue lengths for a shared phase for the East to West crossing on Dublin Road and the right turn from Dublin Road into Knaith Road.
Option 3
Option 3 - A shared phase for the East to West crossing on Dublin Road and the Knaith Road traffic (both left turns and right turns)
|
Approach
|
Peak
|
Scenario
|
Average Delay (s)
|
95% back of queue distance (m)
|
Dublin Road South Approach
|
AM
|
Scenario 1
|
7.7
|
39.3
|
Scenario 2
|
8.0
|
49.4
|
Scenario 3
|
8.0
|
49.4
|
PM
|
Scenario 1
|
8.0
|
51.7
|
Scenario 2
|
7.9
|
63.5
|
Scenario 3
|
7.9
|
63.5
|
Dublin Road North Approach
|
AM
|
Scenario 1
|
0.9
|
3.3
|
Scenario 2
|
0.9
|
4.5
|
Scenario 3
|
0.9
|
4.5
|
PM
|
Scenario 1
|
1.2
|
3.1
|
Scenario 2
|
1.2
|
4.1
|
Scenario 3
|
1.2
|
4.1
|
Knaith Road East Approach
|
AM
|
Scenario 1
|
31.1
|
29.9
|
Scenario 2
|
31.6
|
36.6
|
Scenario 3
|
31.6
|
36.6
|
PM
|
Scenario 1
|
31.2
|
32.1
|
Scenario 2
|
32.8
|
40.3
|
Scenario 3
|
32.8
|
40.3
|
Table 3: Delay and queue lengths for a shared phase for the East to West crossing on Dublin Road and the Knaith Road traffic (both left turns and right turns).